Talk about putting the pressure on myself.
If you've been reading this blog from the start a few years ago now, you'll know that the racehorse previews here have been on the money A LOT.
It's hard to do this because, the real theory behind handicapping is something along the lines of 'a high percentage' of results, if you ran the same race over and over ten times, or a hundred times - a high percentage will have the same horses in the top places if you've calculated the weights and times correctly.
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| These are staggeringly good musicians and I shouldn't make fun of them which I'm not and anyway - anyway it was NYQUIST, wasn't it, not NYQUIL. But there's a sick joke about: 'Nyquil, the reason why Doves Cry...' (That's Prince's 'Wendy &Lisa' above) |
The fact is though, there are a lot factors involved - and they are quite complex; for instance, some experts feel conditions such as the light level or even presence of birds (this is a fact, by the way, that is, a fact that experts take bird flocks into consideration...) have a bearing on the possible outcomes or on how the race is run.
Anyway let's put up for you the results of the just-run 2016 Kentucky Derby:
1st Nyquist
2nd Exaggerator
3rd Gun Runner
So, let's all realize that despite any amount of 'successful' predictions on these pages, horse racing is still a risky business, and there is a lot of stakes' managing that goes into what it takes to be a long-term successful professional gambler.
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| Sydney horse racing expert, typical dress code... |
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