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Friday 10 November 2023

You Will Be Highly Solvent

Of course, being only human, it is natural to sit on your hands and wait around, denying in your head what is happening in front of your eyes - until it is way too late. Again.

Done that kind of thing before, ever?

All of you who have read all of the texts linked up here since the beginning will already know that this 'Humane AI pin' thing-y was talked about by us years and years ago now. And that's because people saw it. From the future. Because that's what they can do.
The 'Humane AI pin' technology.




One of our clear objectives here is to enable everyone who comes here and reads to be solvent.

There is not much point carrying on about all cool stuff and that, and then people are being poor or broke!

So all that will achieve is to make people want for things they cannot buy or cannot have.

Sure it will seem from beforehand, that something like buying a few bottles of wine would never give anyone cash in their pocket - but that is not how this place works...

This place is literally about those individuals who can get up into the little white craft and disappear into the clouds and way up into the sky far beyond the human eye can naturally see and go to places very far away and even break through what the science of today thinks is some kind of time/space barrier.

Here is a very short list of things we said would happen before they did (actually happen):

  • the now publicly-covered ET Alien flap inside of US officialdom
  • Covid - a widespread biological weapon affecting virtually everyone
  • Massive earthquakes and flooding
  • The death of the Q of E although I remember saying anyone could have guessed that
  • the Humane AI pin technology
I know that I personally held back people from talking about any and all of the conflict violence that has been happening all across the globe - but we could have 'gone there' and in quite some detail. It's just not very nice what has been going on and some of the real details (which are completely missing in the standard media too) are extremely disturbing.


Ukraine I know is listed in the very first book that we put out. And that was a long time ago now. Well before even there was any hint in the public space about the Hunter laptop or any of the Hillary emails about dealings with people inside of the Ukraine.

And there are some subtle other underlying issues also talked about in these 'fiction' narratives which I think virtually no one has noticed - but in one specific case we linked a certain matter to the Covid biological weapon and that is indeed the truth of it too: 'something' going on inside of most or all Western military ranks to do with gender actually has to do with how Covid can affect certain people. And that is never going to be admitted by any of the authorities or through anyone in official channels of information.

Yet none of these things are all that significant in the grand scheme of things necessarily, when it comes to your personal finances.

I made some money shorting insurance companies when earthquakes and fires and floods took out thousands of businesses and dwellings in New Zealand and right across the East Coast of Australia. 

But people's memories are short and that set of incidents hardly is recalled by anyone in the normal course of daily events any more and does not feature at all in people's frontal memories now.

The recent space transiting ballistic missile launch from somewhere in Yemen, aimed at Israel and shot down or at least destroyed in space - is literally the basis of one entire book. And we even specified that Iran was behind (or, at the time 'would be' behind) it. 
These wall-hangings are called
'erased heritage' tapestries.


The also very recent apparent splitting away by Russia and the US from their START commitments was discussed as well - but the reality is that the Russians certainly need to give themselves enough bilateral scope to explore their high-altitude EMP technologies inclusive of controlled nuclear explosions in near space atmospheric strata, and most of the rest of the nuclear safety protocols are well and truly still in place albeit they involve more secret units than anyone even in the Pentagon is generally privy to regardless of what they think they have clearance for.

Believe it or not there are a few people inside the FED who have absolute clearance to read cables (and all other electronic communications) from the CIA and the Department of State...

These people (at the FED) may have an inkling that there are other units even more top secret than anything handled by the orthodox CIA establishment. Although then again, who's to say they actually understood what it was they were reading.

Traditionally, probably for decades and decades, maybe since as far back as the Sixties sometime, investors have all assumed that it took quite a lot of initial investment dollars to be able to rationally expect to turn a meaningful profit out of any ventures in financial speculating - and by the time of the Eighties, leveraged futures was a big thing and anyone and everyone could get into those financial products. In other words, the mindset was automatically tuned to scale thinking: namely that yes you might make a percentage profit on something, on some position, but you needed to scale up to really clean up.
Not this one, but this one
is pretty good enough all
the same: Rutherglen Shiraz



However that perception is actually not based on any true fact in the final analysis.

The reality is because of monetarism becoming the guiding economic philosophy of central bank boards and committees everywhere in the Western World (never mind that none of them actually knows in what ways to apply monetarist concepts), there is way too much volatility and unexpected collateral consequences from the wanton but still deliberate artificial expanding and also contracting from time to time on the basis of thin air real economic reasons, of the M1 money supply - and so if you scale a seemingly sound position one day, next night you can lose bundles when a sudden market dislocation occurs because of an errant and arbitrary money supply decision of the FOMC and the FED itself that ran counter to the real factors-of-production equations or the authentic demand-supply numbers in the real market.

You are playing against more than just the other 'investor' animals in the market - you are playing against monetary policy which is being run by idiots.

But what never 'takes a haircut,' as the trader parlance has it, is the psychology of the people playing (or in fact attempting to rule and to control) at and from the top.

That psychology is stable and predictable in its instability of mind, in its lunacy.

If a snob thinks and believes that a certain French classic wine is worth $30,000 - then when they have a get-together of other idiots at some secretive spot in order to buttress their own self-delusions about how important they all are and what a great and also what a difficult job it is that they are all doing...

...it takes very little to introduce into the snob mentality the fear of missing out on the expected lifestyle of the privileged brats that they all are.

Doctors, many lawyers and virtually all judges today, and high-level commercial and 'money center' bankers are all nothing but snobs, and middle class snobs at that.

So, they buy French wine.

They own it, they stock it in their cellars, and regularly enough, they get others to open a few bottles of it for them to pour down their vile throats.

And they will continue to do that until there is no drinkable French wine left for them to drink.

And there is no one on the planet that will tell you that come a day, and soon, there will be no such thing as a drinkable French wine left still being produced in France.
'Once upon a time, a boy called
Jack, climbed up a beanstalk...'



However, the true concept of 'wealth transference,' is when the thirty thousand dollars ($30,000) in the pocket of some FED exec, goes into your pocket from out of theirs.
 
Now this is all just a game for people such as myself...

Right now most of you still are resisting accepting that there are such things as beings 'from not here.'

But I tell you this and I say it most sincerely - the world that you know and that you have been used to will not be around ten years from now. 

What that actual cataclysmic difference in the world of humans will be though, is not possible to say outright in just so many words here and now. 

Where you will start to use your own internal self-confidence in support of the previously unimaginable - is after you have acquired yourself a case or even just a few bottles of something, but not just any something, but a something we will talk about and disclose over coming days and weeks, and then you suddenly find that one day your possessions are worth impossible sums when you spent nothing but a hundred or so dollars to buy them...

It's much harder to accept that so-and-so really does hang out with actual literal ET Aliens and gets to fly around in little tiny space ships or even simply absolutely massive ones - when your pockets are empty.

And when your pockets are full of the beans of Jack from the Beanstalk story, and all of those beans are made of gold and silver and maybe rubies and topaz too and whatever else there is in the shops along Upper 5th Avenue, then you can bear to hear the Jack and the Beanstalk story again and again from actual Jack himself without being foolish and gainsaying ol' Jack because you have watched one too many Richard Dawkins and 'Professor' Brain Cox video clips already and think that you know everything about truth and what is true and what constitutes science fact as opposed to what is only very weak science fiction.












Thursday 9 November 2023

The Coming Inflation Disaster

I am very conscious that so many people around me right now will be exposed to the problematic forces confronting real estate and equities markets everywhere.

There are no places on the planet Earth right now that are completely immune to severe risks in the ordinary kinds of assets that people everywhere are constantly told are 'safe,' or 'as safe as houses...'

Georges Cinq, I think.
Yes.


Because we have all come to live in a monetarist central banking paradigm over the last forty years. And so ever since the tenure of Fed Chairman Paul Volcker, the expansion of the money supply is the most critical factor to the pricing effect of inflation on just about anything. But then, the fact that the monetarist mindset has taken hold and is entrenched in - literally baked into - the national debt structure of the funding of government, does not mean that the policy leaders really fully understand what monetarism actually is and how to manipulate circulation velocity with optimum economic and social/political efficiency using the monetary taps.

It is not going to be easy for me to discuss with you the coming massive problems and dire straits of the middle classes as they attempt to stave off their looming inability to stop spending on their presumed 'asset values' using debt.

At the same time of course, no commercial banks will ever reign in their own propensity to extend debt based on valuations of real estate. This lending of money by banks is the basic underlying cause of consumer goods and services inflation - since limitless new 'money' is chasing the limited supply of existing products.

Most people will at this point have a strong pre-commitment out of their own pockets to the position that their investment stance is sound and that all of their 'assets' are never going to be worthless as such.

In fact they are already much worse than simply 'worthless;' they have stolen decades of people's time and work-lives and will not be able to return anything to them on those things.

It makes a lot of difference...
What you serve things in.

You will never be able to shake people's hypnotized fixation on the idea that 'government' controls everything practically speaking, and that 'government' will do something to save everyone and that besides only 'government' makes new land available and can permit who gets to build what onto where. The theme with that kind of thinking being that houses/buildings are in short supply compared to the demand for them.

It is one thing for someone who has a large percentage of ownership of their land and house/s, and quite another to discuss what most ordinary people are doing. Most ordinary people have no idea what a sound equity position in a mortgage-funded piece of real estate is, and no self-discipline to stay away from so-called 'home equity loans.'

And there is absolutely no possibility that governments will ever cease wasting money on private-interest schemes and paying out vast sums of taxpayer money to lobbies.

Until there is a disaster.

When you buy a new house you pay an inbuilt premium for 'newness.' When you buy an old house you buy an expense and a depreciating asset. ...And a 'thing' that has a 'foot-print' of many square meters all of which are land 'rate-able.' And which is immobile. It cannot be moved away from some poor economic environment to another, better-off one.

When you buy a case of 100 year old port wine you buy something that can last another hundred years. ...Which occupies very little space or 'footprint,' and that has a very low maintenance cost if anything at all. And that is mobile in that you can, if needs be, move it around quite easily.

And which goes down in relative supply terms as the years pass (there's less of it available from such-and-such a particular vintage).

Now whether there is either a consistent demand for such non-essential premium items, or whether these things always go up in price just because of a rampaging money supply and secular inflation is moot.


The unthinkable of course, is that a bottle of 1,000 dollar vintage tawny port today will be worth 10,000 dollars in the near future.

The 1 million dollar house will not be worth 10 million dollars. But if it is - then so too will all the on-costs and land rates and capital gains taxes and everything else the government can suck out of the situation, have gone up equivalently, although more likely even much more than -.

My parallel projected forecast is unthinkable.

Which is namely that land and property will have gone down ten-fold or literally be worthless and less than worthless - and that wine of all things will have gone up tenfold.

You would think that it is wine where people's self-discipline goes out the window and where they over-indulge and do foolish things. Because that is what everyone is told from youth after all.

And they are told that property is the only safe form of investment.

And that property never goes down.

You are prudent and wise if you stay away from wine and stay entrenched in real estate investments.

No modern-era person respects the saying, well-known to people of the ancient past, that whom the gods wish to destroy they first make mad, and then the second idea which goes along with the first -, that wine is the invention of God and sacred and that far from making a sane person mad, it has the capacity to let them gain truthful insights.

The gods do not suggest and nor do they like, humans with a lack of self-control. That is not the point here. 

This place actually has an odor
of pink musk lollies about it
in there, or real marshmallows
not the fake synthetic scent of that stuff!
The Palazzo Brancaccio.


They love people who strive to have self-control.

But more than just sometimes, freeing someone from the false and the fraudulent conceptions about 'self-control' (and more often control by others), is the pathway to being able to see what is true and being able to distinguish it from what is abundantly, yet tragically, seemingly invisibly false.

People have zero memory.

No one today in the world of market commentary recalls that their idol Paul Volcker, completely stuffed up his 'brilliant genius' plan to shift to a monetarist view of economics and central banking and how to 'stop inflation' - and that he by mistake instead created the biggest recession since the Depression and guaranteed that Carter lose the election then, pinning everything on the political establishments, when it was all due to his own arrogance and ignorance of monetarism and the mechanics required to control inflation.

In the same way, no one recognizes that governments and central banks have totally 'lost the plot' so to speak, and moreover, have actually lost control of the near-term future outcomes to do with insane credit expansion using 'free money' for stupid assets such as 'real estate.'

You cannot eat a brick.

As the pharaohs all found out in their end.


Rich Muslims in London do not bow down and worship Allah; they bow down and worship money and middle class mercantilism and property development and real estate investment.

Hamas does not bow down and worship Allah, hoping to kill all the Jews and overrun Israel heralding the return of Isa ibn Maryam, ascending the minbar at Damascus, Syria and signalling the End of the World. They are instead obsessed with fighting the Jewish-dominated United States economy (so they think that it is) out of a sense of envy and jealousy and competition for worldly power - whereas a single crate of wine would do that on someone's personal level of things.


...He tramples out the Grapes of Wrath and you all fall for it every single second of the day if not for angels holding you back from falling into the Abyss.

I am right here and what I say is how it will be.

The only people getting out of here now are a handful, a lonely few. Could be, maybe, you. And not too many else.

There is no one on this planet who can tell you by strategic guesswork, or just wild attempts at prophecy, that Algerian terrorists do have nuclear devices with which they can, and they will, destroy French vineyards.

The only person who can know that kind of thing for a given, and can tell you it, is someone who has been to the future and that is only possible in little white Tic Tacs. LOL

And oh, btw, there is not a goddamn thing 'you' or Chris Wray or anyone else can do about it to stop people like me from going there and saying whatever it is that is waiting there for everyone.

Not a real pic...
Gee it's close but.


Pay me money - um ten, no now it is over a hundred million dollars, and I will show you and take you and give you access and pics and everything. Why t h not??

I can deliver. And guess what, there's not too many out there by the same token who can meet my price back. They in fact, cannot deliver.

Elon Musk is not smart enough although he would be tempted if he knew.

Do you think there is any chance whatsoever, that what I just said will not come to pass?

Ya think?

Maybe you should go back and re-read those books we offered categorically explaining about the Iranian military satellites and 'rainbow bomb' ballistic missiles, and specifying Ukraine as a key war zone, and literally showing you where and when the 'biological weapon' was released in Hong Kong (was in HK, not Wuhan) - and all of those things before they happened!

You think there is any chance at all that the French wineries will be able to stay intact?

LOL

And like, people still think there is no 'evidence' for ET Aliens, right.

And not TEOTW either, right?

But wait, what if what I said here happens? What then -, in your mind... 

What are guys like me really doing though, right?

Well for one thing I like to find great things and then I like to preserve them.

I don't throw good stuff away.

'I.'

'Us' I guess, really.

How about you?

(Aruna's a friend of ours too):



Tuesday 7 November 2023

The Fight Between Media And Money

Now considering that this place now does have some basic exposure to the world of mainstream commercial practices, then you'd have to expect that whereas maybe in the distant past we would have just outright said 'Oh so-and-so literally is a such-and-such -,' well today we would be inclined to be a touch more circumspect.

Personally I was this morning rather pleased to find out that not only is the author Frederick Forsyth totally alive, but that he is in very good health. One of his friends was someone whom I was vaguely acquainted with, albeit only for a brief period quite a long time ago, namely, David Tang -, Sir David as he became. Sadly Sir David passed away and I had presumed all of that generational group of Londoners were not with us any more but I am of course quite wrong.

Georges Cinq restaurant in the evening...


Forsyth is someone who, having also worked for Reuters, as Ian Fleming had done, was extremely good at researching his material and most of what he converted into fictional spy novels was derived from strict fact and hard reality.

...Now I mention all of this to point out that all of your corporate media, just about everywhere at the 'heavy-hitter' end of it - and that includes educational publishing (for schools and colleges) and all kinds of computer data companies involved with political analysis and party campaigning - is owned by just one German family. As those familiar with Forsyth's work might be awake up to what I am talking about here...

Not only that, ever since Saatchi & Saatchi self-destructed, virtually all of the heavy-hitters in CRM ('customer relationship management') - something also used by politicians and governments - is owned by exactly the same family.

Meanwhile though, the Bank of England has gone to sleep, and the German Bundesbank, at one time the largest central bank in Europe but now only another member of the ESCB, has sat on its hands on the sidelines as Germany went to economic Hell.

Right now too, the US Federal Reserve is committing suicide - well, actually, what I mean to say is bidding the US citizen to commit suicide over the obtaining national economic conditions and some kind of bizarre prevailing inflationary-positive policy mindset about money and interest rates.

So on the surface you might have thought that there was no friction at all right now between corporate interests who engage in controlling the political atmosphere and the entire sphere of politics as seen by the general public - and central banks who are all meant to be independent and who operate from their chartered objective of protecting the stability of the national currency of whatever nation each central bank looks after.

Nice street lamps in
Paris.

You will observe, I trust, how that recently, and despite my own private view, our 'friends' categorical stated that gold would not rise markedly in the current circumstances of nascent World War III (we are now in that War) - and that they were right and my private view was wrong.

Well our friends go on to say that many things are inclined to happen in world affairs, which are totally outside of anyone's capacity to realistically predict them from standard analysis or from any known or knowable data at any given immediate present moment.

I will return to what I have just now said here in this post, at some future time, and underscore those elements that one might have understood from reading any of the references earlier on in here (this post) - and which will stand out as very stark reminders that there is simply nothing that I have ever said here or elsewhere on the matter of these 'people' that did not come strictly from actual facts and real incidents. 

And no less will those things impinge on the prices and values of French classic wines, than certain other, if associated things that will transpire, also serve to drive a wedge once more between central banking and vast monopolistic corporate interests who specialize in lobbying all sides of politics, with the result that the cost of money will begin to reflect the idiotic and insane cost of capital when multiplied by the theoretical size of liquidated asset values and hence supposed 'dollars' to be raised as debt from real estate prices which are many many multiples of their true clearance values at purely supply and demand considerations.

In short, things happen which change the dynamics of even very cozy banking-political-private wealth relationships. And things can suddenly happen that alter the whole economies of nations - as we have seen be the case with a biological pathogen for example recently.

Without such fore-knowledge it is impossible to predict the future values of something will rise, which do not present any evidence from natural dynamics that they will rise in prices or value.

Going on current evidence, you would not say that interest rates will go to massively higher numbers and you will be inclined to harken to the media's drumbeat that 'this is near the end of the tightening cycle' and that interest rates will 'go back down in a year...'

What 'tightening cycle?' What such thing is that?

Look you're only
truly wealthy when you 
wear pajamas in the street.


Inflation is entirely a monetary-caused phenomenon, and the government (governments everywhere) have not stopped expanding their debt since forever and that is the express reason there is inflation - since so much more new money (by means of debt contracted with commercial banks by people and companies) has driven up purchasing and purchasing power of only existing levels of goods and services with zero authentic capability of anyone to produce new goods and services at the rate that governments and banks can issue fantasy 'dollars!'

While fantasy interest rates were 'zero' or close to zero (remember when it was mooted that 'interest rates could go negative?'), it did not appear that there was inflation being experienced - that is, on-costs were not rising as asset prices were rising. 

But the central banks knew exactly what they were doing back then. And they were very happy to support low costs of living and low on-costs (wages and energy, fundamentally) in order to drive up debts.

Now they have you in debt.

And you spend because you have access to borrowings against fantasy valuations of fixed assets - aka debt.

Well, spent when you had access to debt at cheap prices. And yet, cheap while they appeared to be, the quanta was always much much larger than say it would have been even in the Go Go Eighties.

So now you have more absolute debt and rising absolute costs of debt.

Let's see how you get out of that mess. 

And by 'you' I mean the average citizen everywhere around the Western World.

Let's see you sell every single condominium especially those half-built ones where the builders for some odd reason went broke, and my my, how many of those there are around the place these days...

In other words, lets see the clearance rate in the market actually happen.

Technically, there still are ways politicians can negotiate a way out of the mess for the average mortgage holder...


Louis Vuitton was not ever a genuine 'luxury' product company in the first place anyway.

They were a company pandering to the easy credit and the debt-running middle classes who thought their properties were 'wealth' and wanted to spend cash (debt source cash) on stuff to impress their 'friends.'

Richebourg Leroy is luxury. So is Penfolds Grange.

One is scarce and the other is good.

But what I could tell you about future 'scarcity' though is coming from people with little white Tic Tacs and no one else believes that kind of thing!

LOL

I mean you don't believe that do you?

I certainly could tell you about the future but it's very very unpleasant stuff. And I would get instantly booted from the platform and all the ad revenue would be taken away.

And then, then, afterward, when 'it' happened (IE the thing/s I said about the future events), no one would apologize.

But this time though, they would not apologize for two separate and different reasons which I am not going into. Am I??

...Don't take the lyrics of this song too seriously. It's just a hypothetical. It all still very much depends - on this or that, on whether it be in the Spring or Fall, and whether the little guys from Basel and their cousins or is it their brothers from Zurich, had met yet in those darkened evening places they meet, wherever it is that it is, and all decided.





 

Sunday 5 November 2023

New 'White Paper' On This

About the worst thing that anyone can do right now is allow pics of cool things to be singing into their brains: 'buy me, buy me.' LOL

And we are certainly an instigator or culprit of that kind of thing around here.

There is a major issue in world economies today of inflation, but the source of that inflation is never going to be seen in the media. It is directly coming from governments themselves, from the sorts of government systems (well, there really is only one type of system obtaining everywhere today...) and from their central banks.

'Buy me, buy me.'


If you are going to be an intelligent person, you are going to have to face the fact that the concept of a capitalist system is something that is 'of the past' now and does not exist anywhere in practical reality any more.

Output of useful products and valuable services is the objective of economic production - but these are not genuinely what drives corporations (which are legal entities designed to enshrine ownership and proprietorship within the over all society and social/political framework) any longer.

What drives the 'growth' figure stated in official data is debt and the rising and/or contraction of that creates the illusion of growth and 'rates of growth.'

And although central banks continuously run huge, impossibly huge, official lines of debt (ten year notes and longer), it is moot really who the 'lenders' (IE what are they lending?) or true borrowers actually are (what are they borrowing?) in the ultimate analysis. Well, in fact, the 'lender' is the issuer themselves, and they are not compelled to call any (monetary) loans in ever with the effect that a so-called 'capital account' exists somewhere which is claimed to be or said to be what the banking system owes, and what governments owe in absolute terms (not yearly or 'current account' obligations).

So what this in the end means, is that the system has been corrupted and is a corrupt one, in which only those ever smaller groups 'at the top' as it were - of the political system, effectively - sequester themselves off from any obligations to return anything they attain (steal) and so they are the only ones who can indulge themselves in listening to the siren singing of materialism.

Which you and I cannot, or at least, ought not, to do.

The thoughtless lusting of the rich...


But can we get ourselves into a place where we too are immune from the ludicrous forces of a delusional 'economic and currency system?'

To achieve that, we must have liquidity and perhaps also an in-flowing of revenue - that overcomes the rate of growth of nominal debt and the rate of decline in the spending power of dollars.

There is a point to us thinking about wines (or cognacs or at the margin, even whiskeys) here. These are commodities after a fashion -, they can be held and they can be stored for a duration; and they can also be sold.

Yet at the same time it is not easy to arrange each of those steps at all, to end up with the desired result as a certainty.

Yes they can be sold but only to an ever-narrowing market at the top. And these guys are not going to buy anything from just any old outsider, at least not in such a way that you can be guaranteed of a sale whenever you want it.

To overcome the rate of decline in purchasing power of the currency (yes, this is virtually of any currency in the world today) you require to get eight times your capital (on paper) at the time when the present system collapses catastrophically, which will be whenever central banks are forced to revert to a realistic pricing of capital regime.

Remember, the true cost of capital is a function of the exponent of debt (the debt coefficient in the equation - which is exponential at this point) in the currency system.

You don't drink this! It's soap.
Glycerine soap.
And hey! You don't eat it either.

When Powell last week kept rates on 'hold,' he seemed to have forgotten completely what all ratings agencies have recently said about the US government and its economy and money - which is namely, that they all downgraded the credit rating. The currency is riskier, the government is a riskier borrower and the economy is also riskier. These things are all true and in spades.

So once we accept that governments and central banks are actively engaged in suppressing price discovery on precious metals, then we are left with only the fluctuating but nevertheless real marginal utility facets of the trading topography: oil, and vanity and personal indulgence markets which of course, pertain more and more so, only to the top end.

Not without reason do legends tell of Roman senators and Roman dictators dying of either suicide or assassination in their vineyards.

Wine is a thing useful to the ordinary and lusted after by the intemperate wealthy. 

Down here we are extremely fortunate to be the beneficiaries of the continuing wealthy middle classes and politburo chieftains of Beijing's China - all of which either come down here to visit seemingly as 'tourists' or 'buy in' back home, the local Australian produce; the seafood, the wheat, the wine...

Bill Smith and myself and at least two others from the actual wine-making world, will be working on a 'white paper' - a new discussion paper with some details about how with a very little amount of opening capital, it will be possible to profit very meaningfully indeed, while at the same time the rest of the world is going to hell economically-speaking as well as in terms of politically and socially.

It will take at least several days, and probably more than a week to produce.




Friday 3 November 2023

With Lowering Dollar Exchange Values

I'm afraid the reality is that when a national currency goes down in value - well, it is going down!

And it goes down because it is less valuable. Not because its domestic economy is strong and things are great, and 'inflation is beaten.' It goes down because things are bad.

And when it goes down imports cost more and so inflation rises some more.

Liquidity now is more a factor to do with relative flows and not completely just some concept about immediate exchange capability of a money token. 

Takes some guts to wear
the red shoes in the middle there.

With that aspect in mind it is possible to say that the main problem today is liquidity. There is a significant deterioration in the ability of the Federal Reserve to attain continuous pro rata liquidity when it sells whatever it has to sell to get the currency to buy up Treasury Notes against the market tendency.

So when the media says 'the market is up' (by which they mean to say the DJIA Index number is higher; thus that equities are 'up'), the truth is they are not relatively speaking up at all but that in lesser value dollars a certain nominal 'price' was made up to give the illusion of positive direction.

Profits are in fact lower, sales are steadily falling, returns to shareholders are meager or non-existent and it is not safe to buy into equities right now.

Because everyone has this idea that investment is about trading numbers on screens and moving in and out of various positions, there isn't any real investment actually going on.

Nobody in their right mind would spend money buying shares hoping to get no returns! ...Plus a declining overall value of their capital in exchange terms.

But because in fact people are spending money via computer screens to chase numbers pretending that this is 'investing,' then the next truth to face is that volatility is bound to bring losses. Risk is always defined as volatility (reaching to 100% volatility = 100 losses). And a sudden 500 point move so-called 'upwards' in the Dow = extreme volatility which is based on no underlying production and sales facts which can support such moves.

So where do we go to from here?

Well the basic reality is that the dollar is falling.

Takes some guts to wear an
Ascot tie these days...


It is not true that the economy is good, it is not true that stocks are exhibiting growth, it is not true that companies are making profits and it is true on the contrary, that capital prices are now exclusively an expression of the coefficient of debt.

And debt today is too large of a multiple of real underlying inflows of money, and besides, that 'money' is in any case dropping in exchange value steadily.

What we are looking at is a situation in which the players are all going to self-destruct if they don't do something dramatic and do it very fast.

But they won't do anything.

You can't just 'magically' keep the dollar up like you can 'magically' enable a delusional zeitgeist when it comes to equity markets.

The fact that market leaders chose to make insane lunatic decisions to manufacture a sudden rise in equities this week means that they have created two serious channels of volatility: one being the Dow Jones Industrial Averages Index itself, and the other in the currency both ways - down because of the dollar's instant reaction to the interest rate decision, and then potential up with extreme turn-around-on-a-dime volatility if the government and/or the Fed try to do something next to prop up the falling dollar.

Drama pic of a good car.

Don't play around in highly volatile markets driven by irrational central bank and government policies; get out.

Winter is coming...

Not - 'rates are going to be higher for longer,' but winter is coming and it is going to be colder and longer and deeper than anyone knows.

The sooner you wake up to the fact that human people exist in a field - some inside very negative and even 'dead' energy fields, and some inside of alive, actually living fields of energy and pure life - the sooner you will see how to handle the problematic nature of today's mainstream social and also political, world; and be able to come up with your own personal solutions and the ways and means to achieve absolute success and meaningful material results.

This is a live version of what was basically a studio piece to begin with, and part of a studio album always intended to be just a studio album but then, there was too much of a living field going on for that to have remained stuck in such a narrowly-defined performance avenue: